Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 114.692665 126.600341 138.796311 152.194907 166.474445 181.211677 197.544482
2025-05-11 95.845097 113.694923 132.865320 154.867460 179.303539 205.496458 235.579344
2025-05-18 76.245721 97.200987 120.776853 148.973999 181.488425 217.523839 260.194395
2025-05-25 62.781159 85.725205 112.682674 146.144181 186.014035 231.471001 286.675571
2025-06-01 53.405535 77.787812 107.603457 145.859810 192.757106 247.524510 315.444910
2025-06-08 46.661725 72.199306 104.595479 147.409836 201.208898 265.333869 346.267321
2025-06-15 42.777220 69.783664 105.142453 153.044603 214.471248 288.905105 384.169792
2025-06-22 38.284776 65.972256 103.408514 155.391508 223.385781 307.094755 415.659364
2025-06-29 33.793996 61.618944 100.489339 155.798128 229.549806 321.735718 442.802566
2025-07-06 30.298456 58.305544 98.647149 157.349343 236.996382 337.903116 471.890933
2025-07-13 28.320062 57.065270 99.550048 162.522142 249.174329 360.149892 508.802906
2025-07-20 26.004005 55.020902 99.077839 165.628915 258.520836 378.783521 541.283613
2025-07-27 24.200156 53.692837 99.641883 170.297986 270.232157 400.905145 578.875536
2025-08-03 22.146281 51.723735 99.088225 173.289646 279.679710 420.215000 613.160491
2025-08-10 18.279454 46.079129 92.416361 166.960290 275.905007 421.854313 624.453504
2025-08-17 15.577054 42.175061 88.164413 163.919465 276.503380 429.173172 643.109441
2025-08-24 13.700041 39.590012 85.844194 163.623900 280.890487 441.560459 668.502236
2025-08-31 12.359413 37.897403 84.875137 165.310124 288.093406 457.812506 699.156315
2025-09-07 11.828252 37.846020 86.704674 171.416613 301.836640 483.200834 742.286711
2025-09-14 10.818561 36.605078 86.339464 173.958784 310.313756 501.366524 775.852813
2025-09-21 9.624845 34.760599 84.744473 174.399722 315.600575 515.094361 803.503437
2025-09-28 8.706047 33.418026 83.954857 176.078735 322.717184 531.417521 834.793276
2025-10-05 8.321672 33.342970 85.514721 181.673708 335.838592 556.334079 878.032039